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Regulators must clear the runway for U.S. clean H2 to take off

Greater clarity on tax credits and a commitment to rigorous rules on certification are two critical components in the effort to make clean hydrogen (H2) a viable and productive force in the U.S. energy mix, a new industry report from U.S. law firm Troutman Pepper has found.

The report, “Fueling up: How to make U.S. clean hydrogen projects happen,” draws upon the views and expertise of a range of sector specialists to explore what proactive steps must be taken to transform clean H2's vast potential into a practical reality.

The report argues that—in addition to the above—the U.S. should boost exports to provide additional routes to market, bolster domestic manufacturing for H2 technologies, and prioritize 'backbone' infrastructure to reduce project risk.

The Inflation Reduction Act and Bipartisan Infrastructure Law have generated considerable commercial interest in American clean H2 projects. But the legislation, and implementation of those regulations, come with complexities and caveats that require navigation.

One such issue is tax credits. Designed as incentives to encourage companies to produce clean H2, helping them transition from early-stage development and planning to construction, the arrival of proposed IRS regulations on Section 45V in December 2023 have been considered too stringent by many, offering up more questions than answers.

For H2 to be considered 'clean' and eligible for credits, it must meet three criteria: additionality, time matching and deliverability. These "3 Pillars" require that H2 facilities cannot draw power from a source more than three years older than the H2 project, electricity producing H2 must be generated within the same hour as the H2, and the electricity source and H2 facility must be in the same geographical area, as defined by the DOE's transmission needs analysis.

Concerned by the perceived strictness of the regulations, many developers and utilities are halting progress, warning that it will drive up costs and make it harder to get projects funded and constructed in this nascent sector, as they cautiously await further clarity from the IRS on its finalized rules.

Meanwhile, off-takers are asking for improved clean H2 certification standards to offer transparent reassurance that they are getting the product they think they are. To stimulate demand, the Biden Administration made $7 B available to support seven regional clean H2 production hubs across the country, encouraging users to transition from gray to clean energy sources.

However, businesses inclined to follow this route, such as chemical and metal producers, oil refineries, and transportation and utility companies, are feeling uneasy about the potentially ambiguous nature of H2 classifications. Faced with directives to reduce their environmental impact, businesses are struggling with a lack of visibility, guidance and uniform certification to verify how green any available fuel actually is.

The report notes that more states could encourage greater uptake of clean H2 by taking various actions, similar to what numerous states previously did with regard to renewable portfolio targets. For instance, only California, Oregon and Washington have introduced low-carbon fuel standards thus far. State-led commitments along these lines would provide clean H2 users with greater confidence to support the development of a robust domestic clean H2 market.

Beyond the domestic market, some commentators within the report argue there is the opportunity to establish the U.S. as a clean H2 exporter, particular to Europe and Asia, including in the form of ammonia. Industries globally are under regulatory pressure to decarbonize. Many countries outside the U.S. face greater challenges in relation to their regional energy transition policies, making U.S. H2 a potentially attractive proposition, bringing in capital and off-take certainty from around the world, while developing a spot market for clean H2 and related products.

Back on U.S. soil, report commentators have encouraged the building out of U.S. manufacturing facilities for H2 technologies, while prioritizing nationwide 'backbone' infrastructure to reduce project risk. Bloomberg New Energy Finance recently reported that 68% of global electrolyzer manufacturing is in China. In the short-term, this represents a reassuring level of access to equipment, but in the longer-term the federal government has committed to growing domestic production to counteract that reliance.

Equally, interviewees point out that the government needs to unlock investments to support infrastructure, helping producers store and move their product more efficiently and economically. The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) recognized this challenge in its June 2023 National Clean Hydrogen Strategy & Roadmap, where it reported that between $2 B and $3 B of investment annually is needed in H2 infrastructure projects between 2023 and 2030 to enable the U.S. to achieve annual production of 10 MM tonnes by 2030.

Mindy McGrath, a regulatory and finance Partner in the energy practice group at Troutman Pepper, says: "When compiling this report, we found that most commentators and sector specialists agreed about the vast potential of clean H2 to become a highly useful non-fossil component of America's energy mix. And it's been encouraging to see government incentives and financial support acknowledging that potential in an effort to drive both production and demand.

"What is less clear at present is how these mechanisms and stimuli will play out in the real world. Regulators are justifiably concerned about doing things the right way. That said, if the rules surrounding the sector are too onerous or ambiguous it is going to stifle progress. Major energy businesses—developers, producers, utilities and investors—are rightly wary of this uncertainty. In this report we look at why there needs to be a concerted effort to demystify complex regulatory matters, and why clear guidance is needed to create a cohesive framework of strategies to properly advance the sector."